Russia Escalating Hybrid Attacks Across Europe

Since Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine in February 2022, Russia has escalated its use of hybrid, asymmetric warfare across Europe, far beyond the former Soviet Union, where Russia historically focused its aggression. These tactics fall under a Russian military strategy known as New Generation Warfare (NGW).

Insikt Group assesses that Russia is likely to escalate NGW tactics over the next two years, potentially culminating in a full-scale NGW campaign. Europe-based private and public sector entities are very likely at risk of physical and cyber sabotage as Russia deploys NGW tactics.

Critical infrastructure entities in Europe are at high risk of being targeted, potentially resulting in data loss, physical damage to facilities, or injury or death of personnel.