The Iran War: What You Need to Know
Brief
Last updated: 1 May 2026 at 1500 GMT
New from Insikt Group: Iran War — Future Scenarios and Business Implications
Insikt Group has published a dedicated Cone of Plausibility analysis examining how the Iran conflict could evolve over the next 6–12 months — from a fragile ceasefire baseline to regional war, regime collapse, and nuclear crisis. Each scenario includes business implications and 0–90 day priority actions.
Read the full analysis.
This report is updated as the situation evolves across the geopolitical, cyber, and influence operations dimensions of this conflict.
It will be of greatest interest to organizations in the US, Israel, and Gulf states concerned about targeting by Iranian state-sponsored or state-aligned threat actors, as well as those with exposure to energy markets, maritime shipping, and critical infrastructure potentially impacted by regional escalation.